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The Crop Estimates Committee, in its fourth production estimates for the 2023/24 season, lowered the wheat harvest by 0,7% from October to 2,15 million tonnes. The marginal downward revision was mainly on the Western Cape's crop. Still, this projected overall harvest is 2% up from the last season.
Broadly, the provinces behind the current robust national wheat harvest forecast are the Western Cape (53% of the overall harvest), Northern Cape, Free State and Limpopo. Admittedly, while the Northern Cape and Free State are still amongst the leading wheat producers, their expected harvest is less than the 2022/23 season. The expected large harvest in the Western Cape and Limpopo overshadows the decline in harvest in other provinces. There are also likely decent wheat harvests in other provinces such as KwaZulu-Natal, Eastern Cape and North West.
The current expected crop of 2,15 million tonnes is well above the 10-year average harvest of 1,80 million tonnes. If there are no significant changes in the crop forecast in the coming months, South Africa will likely need to import about 1,60 million tonnes to meet domestic consumption in the 2023/24 season (down from the forecast 1,68 million tonnes in the 2022/23 season).
Furthermore, the 2023/24 canola crop was unchanged from October estimates and is at a record 237 450 tonnes (up 13% y/y). The annual increase is also due to increased plantings and expected better yields. Regarding barley and oats, however, the Crop Estimates Committee lowered its production forecasts by 5% and 13% from last month to 360 220 tonnes and 36 200 tonnes, respectively. The recent floods damaged these crops more than wheat and canola. Notably, there are reportedly quality issues in barley, and the extent of it will be clear in the coming weeks. 
Overall, while the overall crop size is encouraging, and no major wheat quality issues have been reported so far, this remains a major concern to us, and would influence the import requirements for the season that we currently have at a consecutive estimate of 1,60 million tonnes. Still, it is too early to formulate a strong view on this matter. It will be some time before we start having a better sense of the wheat quality across the Western Cape's major wheat-producing regions. For now, one could consider this matter a potential downside risk worth monitoring.
 
Voedselinflasie en die styging in energiekoste speel 'n groot rol in die versnelling in die inflasiekoers. Dit laat vrese ontstaan dat rentekoerse kan styg. Landbou-ekonoom Frikkie Maré sê egter dis onwaarskynlik op medium termyn – verligting kan selfs vroeg aanstaande jaar verwag word.

Openbare kommentaar oor voorgestelde wysigings aan die Nasionale Waterwet en Waterdienstewet moet ingedien word teen 17 Januarie. Die wysigings, veral aan die Nasionale Waterwet, kan aansienlike gevolge inhou vir die landbousektor, veral as dit aanvaar word soos voorgestel.

The Association of Meat Importers and Exporters of Southern Africa (AMIE) is warning consumers to brace for higher poultry prices due to ongoing poultry shortages caused by the bird flu outbreak, and a lack of government action to address the issues around the introduction of a rebate on import tariffs, and other emergency measures.

South Africa’s headline inflation quickened more than expectations and edged closer to the upper end of the Sarb’s target range of 3% to 6%, coming in at 5.9% year-on-year in October, from 5.4% year-on-year in September 2023.

Ondanks die groot bydrae van die landbousektor tot die Suid-Afrikaanse ekonomie, behandel die ANC-regering dié bedryf steeds soos ’n ongewenste kind.So sê Tammy Breedt, VF Plus-LP en -woordvoerder oor landbou, in ’n verklaring na aanleiding van ’n parlementêre debat waaraan sy Vrydag deelgeneem het.

The high risk involved in primary, and especially smallholder production, was identified as one of the biggest barriers to financing, and in effect the development of Africa’s agricultural potential at the Africa Agri Investment Indaba.

The ANC blames heatwave for stage 6 loadshedding -“Some things are believed because they are demonstrably true. But many other things are believed simply because they have been asserted repeatedly—and repetition has been accepted as a substitute for evidence.”

Daar is optimisme dat Suid-Afrika se verbruikersvoedselprysinflasie na laer vlakke sal terugkeer in 2024. Sommige produkte wat waarskynlik so 'n prysneiging sal aandryf sluit in graanverwante produkte, sowel as vette en olies.

Swart Ekonomiese Bevoordeling, (SEB) kry die blaam vir die chaotiese toestand wat oor etlike jare steeds voortgaan by die “nuut geboude” Kusile kragsentrale. Die konstruksie by Kusile het in 2008 begin, en sou volgens kontrak ooreenkoms ses jaar geneem het om te voltooi en in bedryf te stel.

Navorsers van die Switserse Federale Instituut vir Tegnologie in Zürich, Switserland, skep sirkulêre ekonomieë wat verwerkte organiese afval en menslike uitskeidings as kunsmis of veevoer gebruik. Die navorsing vind plaas in vennootskap met Suid-Afrika en Rwanda. Dit dui daarop dat 250 miljoen mense in Afrika aan honger of wanvoeding ly.

As low water levels limit movement across the Panama Canal, a potential solution is in the works to mitigate the effects of future droughts. The Canal’s board of directors submitted a proposal to the Panamanian government to advance the process of pursuing a set of solutions.

Sixty per cent of South Africa’s economy is at risk because of the “high inefficiencies and infrastructural collapse” that have led to the country’s current crisis of state-owned logistics capacity, says Dr Juanita Maree of the South Africa Association of Freight Forwarders (Saaff).

A drone-driving application is to be used by households, especially farmers in their daily business, to enable 24-hour cattle monitoring from the comfort of a home. This technological advancement was announced by President Dr Mokgweetsi Masisi last week at a meeting in Maitengwe. He said that almost every citizen owning a smartphone could now remotely control herds.

Business confidence slumped on the back of deteriorating economic conditions, weak consumer demand, and logistical challenges during the fourth quarter.The RMB/Bureau for Economic Research (BER) Business Confidence Index (BCI) slipped by two points to 31 in the fourth quarter.

SA’s table grape industry, a major source of export earnings, is concerned that the crisis at the ports could cost it dearly again this year. As the harvest season ramps up, exporters continue to face huge backlogs caused by equipment breakdowns and adverse weather conditions, resulting in delays in loading and offloading cargo at the Cape Town and Durban ports managed by Transnet Port Terminals.

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